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Couple stand beside a campervan looking out to sea, blue skies and sunhine overhead.Getty Images

The temperature in southern England could hit 27C (81F) later this week making it the highest temperature recorded in April since 2018.

Warmth and sunshine will develop widely across most areas of the UK as high pressure gradually builds.

Lack of rainfall however, will again raise concerns about potential wildfires.

The last time the temperature rose to 27C in April was in 2018 in Cambridge.

How widespread will the warmth be?

Runners of the London and Manchester marathons will likely tell you that it was already warm on Sunday, with the those pounding the streets of the capital experiencing the fourth-warmest London Marathon in its history.

The week begins with temperatures across England and Wales already hitting 19-24C, with much of Scotland and Northern Ireland around 16-19C under slightly cloudier conditions. Some patchy rain likely in north-west Scotland, too.

UK map showing temperatures midweek. Widely 20 to 25 Celsius, but up to 27 Celsius in south-east England. Just 12 to 15 Celsius inh the far north of Scotland. Late April average across the UK is 12 to 15 Celsius.

However, as sunny skies develop more widely, the combination of strong sunshine and light winds will help temperatures to peak on either Wednesday or Thursday, and be the highest of the year so far in each of the four nations.

23C is the expected high in parts of Scotland and Northern Ireland, 25C in Wales and 27C in England.

London, the Home Counties and Cambridgeshire are the areas expected to record the warmest of the conditions.

With sea temperatures around the UK still relatively low at the moment, coastal areas where sea breezes develop will feel cooler, but UV levels will remain high.

Is this a heatwave?

Whilst the upcoming spell of warmth is significant, with a number of areas seeing temperatures 10 degrees above what we'd usually expect, it is not technically going to be a heatwave in meteorological terms.

For this, we would need to see at least three consecutive days at or above the "heatwave threshold" which varies depending on where you are in the UK.

Map of UK showing heatwave threshold temperatures which vary from 28C in the south-east of 25C in the north and west

Do be prepared for high levels of UV, as the sun is as strong this time of year as it is in August.

If you're a hay fever sufferer, another feature of the warm and sunny weather will be an increase in pollen levels.

How unsual is the warmth?

While this will be the warmest weather of the year so far and the warmest since early September, April can bring big swings in temperature and it is not unusual to see this type of hot spell during spring.

The highest April temperature ever recorded is 29.4C which was reached in London on 16 April 1949.

As our climate continues to warm though, we expect this type of spring heat to occur more often. Recent analysis found that spring is the fastest-warming season in the United Kingdom.

Vibrant green trees and the pinks and yellows of tulips in a park under sunny skies.BBC WeatherWatchers/SteveC

Concerns surround the lack of rain

Despite some occasional downpours, spring has been incredibly dry so far this year for a number of areas.

In a large swathe of central southern England many have seen only around a fifth of the rainfall they would normally expect to receive since the start of March.

For inland areas of North Yorkshire there has been close to a quarter of the normal rainfall which has had an impact on river levels.

According to the latest rainfall and river flow summary by the Environment Agency, river levels quite widely across the north-eastern quarter of England are classed as "notably low" or "exceptionally low".

Paws of a dog stand on mud that is dry and crackedBBC Weatherwatchers/Helen Earth

The ongoing dry conditions also mean that fire services across the UK will be on high alert for further wildfires.

A study of satellite data by the BBC shows that the area of the UK burnt by wildfires so far this year is already higher than the total for any year in more than a decade.

Another potential drawback to the warm, sunny and calm conditions will be the build up of pollutants in the atmosphere. Defra and Met Office air pollution forecasts for the week shows moderate pollution levels quite widely across the UK by Wednesday, especially for England and Wales.

How long will it last?

With the May Bank Holiday on the horizon I think you may know the answer to this one.

Later in the week, as high pressure gradually diminishes a shift in wind direction to the north or north-west will bring cooler air southwards for the start of the weekend.

However, while temperatures will drop for all, they will still remain at or above average for the time of the year. At the moment, the start of the weekend looks dry to, but there are hints that low pressure could bring showers and cooler conditions by the end of the long weekend.

  • You can find out how the temperatures will vary where you are on the BBC Weather app or by catching up with the latest Weather for the Week Ahead.


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